Week 6 of the 2024 NFL season concludes with an exciting AFC East Monday Night Football matchup between Josh Allen’s Buffalo Bills and Aaron Rodgers’ New York Jets at MetLife Stadium (8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN). The Jets, with a 2-3 record, come into this game with a new interim head coach and offensive playcaller, looking to shake things up and bounce back from a sluggish start. If you’re looking for Monday Night Football betting tips, this clash between division rivals offers plenty of intrigue, especially with the recent coaching changes.
Coaching Changes and Storylines
The Jets made headlines last week by firing head coach Robert Saleh after their slow start to the season. Defensive coordinator Jeff Ulbrich has stepped in as interim head coach and will look to earn his first win against a Buffalo Bills team that is likely motivated after a Week 5 loss to the Houston Texans. Despite being under .500, the Jets can still take first place in the division with a win, thanks to a revamped offense under new playcaller Todd Downing.
Betting Lines and Game Odds
As of publication time, the line has moved from Bills -3 to Bills -1, according to ESPN BET. The Jets have gained traction and now sit even on the moneyline. Below are some of the key betting lines for Monday night’s game:
- Spread: Bills (-1)
- Money line: Bills (-120), Jets (Even)
- Over/Under: 40.5 points
Team Props
- Bills total points: Over/Under 20.5 points
- Jets total points: Over/Under 19.5 points
First-Half Spread
- Bills: -0.5 (Even)
- Jets: +0.5 (-120)
Key Player Props
Passing Props
- Aaron Rodgers: Over/Under 224.5 passing yards
- Josh Allen: Over/Under 199.5 passing yards
Rushing Props
- James Cook: Over/Under 59.5 rushing yards
- Breece Hall: Over/Under 49.5 rushing yards
- Josh Allen: Over/Under 29.5 rushing yards
Receiving Props
- Garrett Wilson: Over/Under 59.5 receiving yards
- Tyler Conklin: Over/Under 29.5 receiving yards
Ben Solak’s Pick
Breece Hall Over 3.5 receptions (-125): With uncertainty around the Jets’ new offensive strategy, Hall could see more targets. The Bills tend to allow receptions to running backs due to their deep defensive schemes, and Aaron Rodgers may rely on quick checkdowns to avoid pressure behind a shaky offensive line.
Betting Trends
- Khalil Shakir has exceeded his receiving yards prop in three straight games, tying the longest active streak among wide receivers.
- Tyler Conklin hasn’t scored a touchdown in 17 straight starts, but he’s listed at +375 to score in Week 6.
- Josh Allen is +145 to throw multiple touchdowns Monday night, though the Jets have only allowed two passing TDs all season.
- Teams returning from Europe without a bye week are 8-7 ATS (against the spread).
- Four straight Jets games have gone under the total. Similarly, all three Bills road games this season have gone under, and five straight Bills-Jets matchups have stayed under the total.
Betting Recap
If you’re wagering on this game, the key trends suggest a low-scoring affair. The Jets have won two straight home meetings against the Bills, both as underdogs. However, their record as underdogs is still shaky at 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games. Meanwhile, the Bills have struggled in prime-time games recently, going 3-7 ATS in their last 10.